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Red132
354423.7
543941.5
760534.8
Blue57
922019.6
555325.2
910229.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107905010015013257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.51.0
41.742.7
Auto12.0
Teleop21.8
End7.7
red by 12.4
29.10.7
30.429.8
Auto4.5
Teleop17.0
End7.5
Second
34.81.0
35.136.0
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End9.1
red by 9.7
5553
#12
25.20.6
26.425.8
Auto6.1
Teleop12.4
End6.7
Third
3544
#28
23.71.0
22.523.4
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End4.4
red by 4.1
9220
#22
19.60.7
20.920.2
Auto7.1
Teleop6.9
End5.6