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Red32
692927.7
806726.8
336028.5
Blue87
398523.1
495526.4
222031.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94874060801201401603287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#14
28.51.2
29.728.5
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End8.5
blue by 2.9
2220
#11
31.40.1
31.831.9
Auto11.2
Teleop13.8
End6.4
Second
6929
#10
27.71.6
29.427.7
Auto10.6
Teleop9.1
End8.1
red by 1.4
26.40.1
27.027.1
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End7.7
Third
8067
#17
26.81.6
28.526.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End6.3
red by 3.7
3985
#31
23.10.1
23.723.9
Auto6.1
Teleop9.6
End7.5