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Red100
544319.7
591031.6
494724.1
Blue55
922019.6
555325.2
910229.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7682020406010012014016010055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.7
30.531.2
Auto7.8
Teleop13.6
End10.1
red by 2.5
29.10.7
29.829.1
Auto4.5
Teleop17.0
End7.5
Second
4947
#26
24.10.7
23.023.7
Auto5.2
Teleop15.9
End3.0
blue by 1.1
5553
#12
25.20.6
25.825.2
Auto6.1
Teleop12.4
End6.7
Third
5443
#33
19.70.7
18.619.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End5.1
red by 0.2
9220
#22
19.60.7
20.219.6
Auto7.1
Teleop6.9
End5.6