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Red70
242327.9
633320.8
356616.4
Blue99
50925.7
287730.0
16638.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63712040801001201401607099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2423
#12
27.91.1
18.119.2
Auto10.3
Teleop11.9
End5.7
blue by 11.0
166
#9
38.82.6
27.930.4
Auto2.5
Teleop25.9
End10.4
Second
6333
#20
20.81.1
26.327.4
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End5.7
blue by 9.2
2877
#19
30.02.6
23.125.7
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End6.0
Third
3566
#27
16.40.9
15.816.8
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End7.0
blue by 9.4
509
#17
25.72.6
15.017.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed