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Red128
7848.5
110034.1
804636.9
Blue113
490941.8
632845.5
854424.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079420406080120140160180128113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#3
48.51.9
43.745.6
Auto14.1
Teleop24.9
End9.5
red by 3.0
45.52.6
35.938.5
Auto13.4
Teleop22.5
End9.4
Second
36.93.2
27.530.7
Auto11.0
Teleop16.8
End9.2
blue by 4.9
41.82.6
29.231.8
Auto13.6
Teleop19.7
End8.5
Third
1100
#11
34.13.2
27.831.0
Auto7.4
Teleop21.6
End5.1
red by 9.7
8544
#26
24.42.6
24.427.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned