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Red105
633320.8
490941.8
581337.8
Blue84
404832.2
854424.4
662015.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11066020408010012014016010584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.5
40.140.6
Auto13.6
Teleop19.7
End8.5
red by 9.6
4048
#16
32.21.3
30.631.9
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End9.3
Second
37.80.6
36.937.5
Auto12.4
Teleop19.8
End5.6
red by 13.4
8544
#26
24.41.3
21.923.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End6.6
Third
6333
#20
20.80.6
20.220.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End5.7
red by 5.0
6620
#30
15.81.3
14.615.8
Auto0.9
Teleop9.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsMissed