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Red109
7848.5
511219.2
174037.3
Blue59
356616.4
862617.2
16638.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117685010015010959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#3
48.50.0
46.346.3
Auto14.1
Teleop24.9
End9.5
red by 9.7
166
#9
38.80.7
36.435.7
Auto2.5
Teleop25.9
End10.4
Second
1740
#10
37.30.0
39.939.9
Auto10.8
Teleop21.4
End5.2
red by 20.1
8626
#18
17.20.9
15.814.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End5.1
Third
5112
#22
19.20.0
17.417.4
Auto6.9
Teleop5.7
End6.6
red by 2.8
3566
#27
16.40.7
18.017.2
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed