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Red141
632845.5
50925.7
632957.8
Blue121
16638.8
854424.4
490941.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341066080120160180200141121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.80.3
56.356.6
Auto14.3
Teleop34.4
End8.9
red by 16.0
41.80.4
41.241.6
Auto13.6
Teleop19.7
End8.5
Second
45.50.3
44.044.3
Auto13.4
Teleop22.5
End9.4
red by 6.7
166
#9
38.80.4
38.238.6
Auto2.5
Teleop25.9
End10.4
Third
509
#17
25.70.3
24.224.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End6.9
red by 1.4
8544
#26
24.40.4
23.824.2
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End6.6