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Red77
110034.1
242327.9
511219.2
Blue85
581337.8
287730.0
490818.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8492501507785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#11
34.10.2
33.833.6
Auto7.4
Teleop21.6
End5.1
blue by 3.7
37.80.0
37.737.7
Auto12.4
Teleop19.8
End5.6
Second
2423
#12
27.90.2
27.527.3
Auto10.3
Teleop11.9
End5.7
blue by 2.2
2877
#19
30.00.0
29.929.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End6.0
Third
5112
#22
19.20.2
18.918.7
Auto6.9
Teleop5.7
End6.6
red by 1.2
4908
#23
18.00.0
18.017.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.1
End7.0