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Red23
39762.5
93159.3
636624.3
Blue33
348924.8
407311.7
129319.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556502040801001201402333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6366
#16
24.33.3
20.917.5
Auto8.3
Teleop12.9
End3.1
blue by 0.5
24.83.0
23.820.8
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End9.5
Second
9315
#22DQ
9.32.8
10.613.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End1.2
blue by 9.8
19.13.0
19.016.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.1
End4.9
Third
3976
#26
2.53.3
15.312.0
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.6
End2.0
blue by 9.2
4073
#23
11.73.0
17.014.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsMissed