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Red78
28120.6
309114.3
418930.7
Blue19
691012.0
616710.6
39762.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603402040801007819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.72.8
23.826.6
Auto10.2
Teleop11.3
End9.1
red by 18.6
6910
#20
12.01.8
12.010.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End3.6
Second
281
#18
20.62.8
17.820.6
Auto7.1
Teleop10.4
End3.1
red by 10.0
6167
#21
10.61.8
14.612.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.0
Third
3091
#17
14.32.8
11.314.1
Auto1.2
Teleop8.7
End4.5
red by 11.8
3976
#26
2.51.8
8.97.1
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned12%Activation oddsMissed