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Red141
453323.7
348924.8
128730.4
Blue55
482315.9
513016.4
636624.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704702040608010012014014155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.42.4
26.328.7
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End6.9
red by 6.1
6366
#16
24.30.9
22.223.0
Auto8.3
Teleop12.9
End3.1
Second
24.82.4
21.423.8
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End9.5
red by 8.4
5130
#19
16.40.9
16.116.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.3
End4.3
Third
23.72.4
15.417.8
Auto9.0
Teleop9.4
End5.3
red by 7.8
4823
#15
15.90.9
8.99.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned19%Activation oddsMissed