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Red68
131914.8
857517.8
281527.8
Blue62
445142.2
696112.8
93159.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56652040801006862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.5
23.924.4
Auto8.3
Teleop10.8
End8.6
blue by 14.4
42.20.3
38.438.7
Auto12.2
Teleop19.9
End10.1
Second
8575
#14
17.80.5
17.918.4
Auto8.0
Teleop5.5
End4.3
red by 5.0
6961
#25
12.80.3
13.714.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End6.4
Third
14.80.5
11.612.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End6.4
red by 5.5
9315
#22
9.30.3
7.47.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned