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Red86
407311.7
281527.8
34330.2
Blue53
636624.3
129319.1
513016.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766220401001208653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#12
30.20.4
30.130.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.9
End7.4
red by 5.9
6366
#16
24.30.3
24.324.0
Auto8.3
Teleop12.9
End3.1
Second
27.80.4
27.728.0
Auto8.3
Teleop10.8
End8.6
red by 8.7
19.10.3
19.118.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.1
End4.9
Third
4073
#23
11.70.4
11.612.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End5.9
blue by 4.8
5130
#19
16.40.3
16.416.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.3
End4.3