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Red66
93159.3
418930.7
453323.7
Blue81
105125.6
349029.3
309114.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67660501001502006681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.1
30.330.3
Auto10.2
Teleop11.3
End9.1
red by 1.4
3490
#10
29.30.3
27.027.3
Auto6.6
Teleop15.9
End6.8
Second
23.70.1
23.323.4
Auto9.0
Teleop9.4
End5.3
blue by 1.9
1051
#13
25.60.3
23.323.6
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End5.7
Third
9315
#22
9.30.1
8.99.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End1.2
blue by 5.0
3091
#17
14.30.3
12.012.3
Auto1.2
Teleop8.7
End4.5