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Red111
696112.8
445142.2
110235.7
Blue85
348924.8
616710.6
128730.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions946520408012014016011185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.6
40.240.7
Auto12.2
Teleop19.9
End10.1
red by 11.8
30.40.2
30.030.2
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End6.9
Second
35.70.6
33.734.3
Auto13.0
Teleop14.2
End8.5
red by 10.9
24.80.2
24.424.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End9.5
Third
6961
#25
12.80.6
10.811.4
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End6.4
red by 2.1
6167
#21
10.60.3
10.210.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.0