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Red64
105125.6
349029.3
309114.3
Blue56
34330.2
281527.8
407311.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667720401001201406456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3490
#10
29.30.0
27.327.3
Auto6.6
Teleop15.9
End6.8
blue by 0.9
343
#12
30.20.3
30.530.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.9
End7.4
Second
1051
#13
25.60.0
23.623.6
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End5.7
blue by 2.2
27.80.3
28.027.7
Auto8.3
Teleop10.8
End8.6
Third
3091
#17
14.30.0
12.312.4
Auto1.2
Teleop8.7
End4.5
red by 2.6
4073
#23
11.70.4
12.011.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End5.9