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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621075015065147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3490
#10
34.20.3
29.228.9
Auto12.8
Teleop13.8
End7.6
blue by 15.3
49.52.8
43.846.7
Auto14.7
Teleop26.8
End8.0
Second
4935
#18
25.30.3
29.829.5
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End7.3
blue by 11.0
36.32.8
27.029.8
Auto14.5
Teleop16.0
End5.7
Third
3976
#24
9.20.3
5.14.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.3
End2.5
blue by 19.3
1758
#11
28.42.8
23.626.4
Auto8.9
Teleop11.2
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned