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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80762040601001201401607075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#15
28.60.3
25.425.1
Auto10.2
Teleop10.3
End8.1
blue by 4.4
342
#7
33.00.1
29.229.1
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End6.7
Second
2815
#12
28.10.3
29.729.4
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End8.5
blue by 0.5
6366
#14
28.60.1
22.722.6
Auto10.8
Teleop11.8
End6.0
Third
8575
#16
22.00.3
19.819.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.3
End5.5
red by 5.1
4748
#23
16.90.2
20.220.0
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsEarned