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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91780501502009568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.8
42.242.9
Auto14.7
Teleop26.8
End8.0
red by 2.6
47.00.5
35.735.2
Auto14.3
Teleop24.1
End8.6
Second
3490
#10
34.20.8
29.330.0
Auto12.8
Teleop13.8
End7.6
red by 6.1
2815
#12
28.10.5
27.827.3
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End8.5
Third
8137
#22
13.10.8
12.212.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End3.3
blue by 4.7
4073
#19
17.80.5
11.711.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed