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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584601002003004005006007007091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#7
33.01.1
26.027.1
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End6.7
blue by 3.4
281
#3
36.42.4
20.623.0
Auto10.6
Teleop19.4
End6.4
Second
3489
#15
28.61.1
24.825.9
Auto10.2
Teleop10.3
End8.1
red by 7.1
21.52.4
14.817.2
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End8.2
Third
3976
#24
9.21.1
2.53.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.3
End2.5
blue by 1.4
9315
#25
10.62.7
9.312.0
Auto4.7
Teleop3.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed17%Activation oddsEarned