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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12547010015020012354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.51.1
46.747.7
Auto14.7
Teleop26.8
End8.0
red by 20.9
3489
#15
28.60.0
25.125.1
Auto10.2
Teleop10.3
End8.1
Second
281
#3
36.41.1
30.531.6
Auto10.6
Teleop19.4
End6.4
red by 19.4
4748
#23
16.90.0
20.020.0
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End5.2
Third
36.31.1
29.830.9
Auto14.5
Teleop16.0
End5.7
red by 23.2
1539
#17
13.10.0
9.09.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned