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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1072505015020011039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#4
40.70.7
33.133.8
Auto10.6
Teleop23.0
End7.1
red by 25.8
4823
#21
14.90.4
15.215.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End4.4
Second
29.10.7
27.328.0
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End5.4
red by 16.0
8137
#22
13.10.4
13.714.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End3.3
Third
2815
#12
28.10.7
29.430.0
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End8.5
red by 18.9
3976
#24
9.20.4
4.85.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned15%Activation oddsMissed