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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768440601001201401608043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#7
33.00.5
30.130.6
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End6.7
red by 4.5
1758
#11
28.42.3
27.425.1
Auto8.9
Teleop11.2
End8.4
Second
29.10.5
28.028.5
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End5.4
red by 1.0
2815
#12
28.12.3
30.027.7
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End8.5
Third
8137
#22
13.10.5
14.014.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End3.3
blue by 3.8
4748
#23
16.93.8
20.016.2
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsMissed