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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566602040801001203250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4935
#18
25.31.8
29.527.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End7.3
blue by 6.4
1287
#13
31.60.7
29.328.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.2
End5.9
Second
4073
#19
17.81.8
14.412.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End7.3
blue by 4.3
22.10.7
12.211.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End6.0
Third
9315
#25
10.61.8
9.57.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.1
End2.8
blue by 11.4
8575
#16
22.00.7
19.418.7
Auto7.3
Teleop9.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsMissed