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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions521010204060801201401605799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8575
#16
22.00.2
20.119.9
Auto7.3
Teleop9.3
End5.5
blue by 14.3
281
#3
36.40.7
33.233.9
Auto10.6
Teleop19.4
End6.4
Second
21.50.2
21.020.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End8.2
blue by 12.7
3490
#10
34.20.7
30.631.3
Auto12.8
Teleop13.8
End7.6
Third
4073
#19
17.80.2
13.913.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End7.3
blue by 10.8
3489
#15
28.60.7
24.825.5
Auto10.2
Teleop10.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned