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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012005010015071118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.12.1
12.014.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End6.0
blue by 27.4
49.51.1
48.349.5
Auto14.7
Teleop26.8
End8.0
Second
1293
#27
22.02.1
19.821.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End6.4
blue by 18.7
343
#4
40.71.1
35.136.2
Auto10.6
Teleop23.0
End7.1
Third
9315
#25
10.62.1
7.69.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.1
End2.8
blue by 8.8
6167
#20
19.41.1
17.418.5
Auto8.9
Teleop6.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
10%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsMissed