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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10277406012014016018011675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#4
40.71.6
36.237.8
Auto10.6
Teleop23.0
End7.1
red by 11.6
29.10.0
29.229.2
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End5.4
Second
3490
#10
34.21.6
31.332.9
Auto12.8
Teleop13.8
End7.6
red by 5.6
3489
#15
28.60.0
25.525.5
Auto10.2
Teleop10.3
End8.1
Third
1758
#11
28.41.6
24.926.5
Auto8.9
Teleop11.2
End8.4
red by 7.0
21.50.0
20.820.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned