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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions561012040801201401602093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4935
#18
25.32.5
28.425.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End7.3
blue by 24.3
49.50.1
49.549.4
Auto14.7
Teleop26.8
End8.0
Second
6961
#26
15.42.5
15.713.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End5.7
blue by 17.6
342
#7
33.00.1
29.929.8
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End6.7
Third
8137
#22
13.12.5
14.111.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End3.3
red by 2.5
9315
#25
10.60.1
9.79.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed70%Activation oddsMissed