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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1034902040608012014016011073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.31.0
35.036.0
Auto14.5
Teleop16.0
End5.7
red by 7.8
1758
#11
28.41.3
25.326.7
Auto8.9
Teleop11.2
End8.4
Second
3489
#15
28.61.0
26.527.5
Auto10.2
Teleop10.3
End8.1
red by 10.8
4073
#19
17.81.3
15.016.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End7.3
Third
2815
#12
28.11.0
28.129.1
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End8.5
red by 12.7
6961
#26
15.41.3
12.513.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsEarned