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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12146010015012649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.51.4
48.149.6
Auto14.7
Teleop26.8
End8.0
red by 20.4
29.10.2
28.127.8
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End5.4
Second
47.01.4
41.643.0
Auto14.3
Teleop24.1
End8.6
red by 30.0
4748
#23
16.90.3
17.717.4
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End5.2
Third
4823
#21
14.91.4
14.616.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End4.4
red by 5.7
3976
#24
9.20.2
6.86.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed