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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137795010015020011699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.4
49.449.1
Auto14.7
Teleop26.8
End8.0
red by 13.3
36.30.8
34.835.6
Auto14.5
Teleop16.0
End5.7
Second
343
#4
40.70.4
40.039.6
Auto10.6
Teleop23.0
End7.1
red by 6.5
3490
#10
34.20.8
33.033.9
Auto12.8
Teleop13.8
End7.6
Third
1287
#13
31.60.4
32.131.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.2
End5.9
red by 16.2
6961
#26
15.40.8
13.914.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned