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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676640506080908762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#7
33.00.2
30.430.1
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End6.7
red by 7.7
4935
#18
25.30.1
25.525.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End7.3
Second
6167
#20
19.40.2
19.719.4
Auto8.9
Teleop6.7
End3.8
blue by 2.0
21.50.1
21.721.6
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End8.2
Third
1539
#17
13.10.2
11.611.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End3.2
blue by 3.8
4748
#23
16.90.1
16.616.5
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsMissed