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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50109015020047133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6366
#14
28.60.5
24.524.0
Auto10.8
Teleop11.8
End6.0
blue by 18.3
47.00.9
35.236.1
Auto14.3
Teleop24.1
End8.6
Second
6961
#26
15.40.5
13.613.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End5.7
blue by 25.3
343
#4
40.70.9
30.231.1
Auto10.6
Teleop23.0
End7.1
Third
4823
#21
14.90.5
16.015.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End4.4
blue by 10.3
4935
#18
25.30.9
28.929.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsEarned