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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585402040801001201401606546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.7
25.326.0
Auto14.5
Teleop16.0
End5.7
red by 7.7
3489
#15
28.60.7
25.925.3
Auto10.2
Teleop10.3
End8.1
Second
22.10.7
11.712.4
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End6.0
red by 9.0
8137
#22
13.10.7
12.912.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End3.3
Third
21.50.7
17.217.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End8.2
red by 10.8
9315
#25
10.60.7
12.011.3
Auto4.7
Teleop3.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsEarned