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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12954010015020014188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.5
49.049.5
Auto14.7
Teleop26.8
End8.0
red by 21.1
1758
#11
28.40.5
27.327.8
Auto8.9
Teleop11.2
End8.4
Second
47.00.5
46.547.0
Auto14.3
Teleop24.1
End8.6
red by 24.8
22.10.5
20.921.4
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End6.0
Third
4748
#23
16.90.5
16.416.9
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End5.2
red by 3.8
1539
#17
13.10.5
11.912.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End3.2