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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85902040601001201401601809999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#3
36.40.3
36.436.8
Auto10.6
Teleop19.4
End6.4
blue by 4.3
343
#4
40.70.1
39.639.7
Auto10.6
Teleop23.0
End7.1
Second
3490
#10
34.20.3
34.334.6
Auto12.8
Teleop13.8
End7.6
red by 1.2
342
#7
33.00.1
31.932.0
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End6.7
Third
3976
#24
9.20.3
9.39.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.3
End2.5
blue by 3.9
8137
#22
13.10.1
12.012.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End3.3