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Red89
880633.6
763243.3
749715.5
Blue128
859527.9
999819.1
880511.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82340206010012014016089128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.1
43.343.2
Auto8.5
Teleop34.3
End0.5
red by 15.4
27.90.4
27.427.8
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.1
Second
33.60.1
33.633.5
Auto5.2
Teleop27.5
End1.0
red by 14.5
19.10.6
18.419.0
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End-1.8
Third
7497
#14
15.50.1
15.515.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End0.7
red by 4.5
8805
#18
11.00.4
10.510.9
Auto1.1
Teleop8.7
End1.2