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Red105
880633.6
763243.3
749715.5
Blue56
859527.9
999819.1
880511.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81350206010012014016010556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.3
43.243.5
Auto8.5
Teleop34.3
End0.5
red by 15.4
27.90.0
27.827.8
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.1
Second
33.60.3
33.533.8
Auto5.2
Teleop27.5
End1.0
red by 14.5
19.10.1
19.018.9
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End-1.8
Third
7497
#14
15.50.3
15.415.7
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End0.7
red by 4.5
8805
#18
11.00.0
10.910.9
Auto1.1
Teleop8.7
End1.2