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Red95
763243.3
99999.0
755120.9
Blue51
763629.9
880511.0
767314.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725602040801001201409551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.5
34.936.5
Auto8.5
Teleop34.3
End0.5
red by 13.4
29.90.9
31.130.2
Auto5.0
Teleop23.5
End1.4
Second
7551
#16
20.91.5
23.024.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.5
End-0.1
red by 6.1
14.80.9
15.014.2
Auto2.1
Teleop11.7
End1.0
Third
9.02.5
9.411.9
Auto1.5
Teleop8.0
End-0.3
blue by 2.0
8805
#18
11.00.9
18.017.1
Auto1.1
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsMissed