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Red64
713015.0
858415.4
764527.1
Blue113
880633.6
859527.9
608319.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5069010015064113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.1
28.828.7
Auto8.2
Teleop17.8
End1.1
blue by 6.5
33.62.2
24.326.5
Auto5.2
Teleop27.5
End1.0
Second
8584
#12
15.40.2
12.912.7
Auto2.6
Teleop14.1
End-1.3
blue by 12.5
27.92.2
28.831.0
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.1
Third
7130
#15
15.00.1
19.018.9
Auto2.1
Teleop11.2
End1.7
blue by 4.3
6083
#11
19.32.2
17.319.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsEarned