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Red116
880633.6
758917.3
767314.8
Blue31
880511.0
999819.1
608319.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4939020608010012014011631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.62.6
29.231.8
Auto5.2
Teleop27.5
End1.0
red by 14.3
6083
#11DQ
19.31.7
19.718.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End3.2
Second
7589
#17
17.32.6
18.120.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.5
End-0.7
blue by 1.8
19.12.9
20.017.1
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End-1.8
Third
14.82.6
12.815.4
Auto2.1
Teleop11.7
End1.0
red by 3.8
8805
#18
11.01.7
17.015.3
Auto1.1
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed