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Red55
879013.8
99999.0
859527.9
Blue91
763243.3
858415.4
816922.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4664020801001201405591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.3
30.330.0
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.1
blue by 15.4
43.31.1
39.240.3
Auto8.5
Teleop34.3
End0.5
Second
8790
#13
13.80.3
14.614.3
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End0.3
blue by 8.5
8169
#10
22.31.1
23.024.0
Auto3.2
Teleop17.4
End1.6
Third
9.00.5
9.69.1
Auto1.5
Teleop8.0
End-0.3
blue by 6.3
8584
#12
15.41.8
13.014.7
Auto2.6
Teleop14.1
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed