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Red158
173048.5
245159.1
651727.3
Blue144
398431.9
426548.3
314038.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441216080100160180200158144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.5
58.358.7
Auto12.5
Teleop36.9
End9.5
red by 10.8
48.30.6
47.448.0
Auto15.7
Teleop24.7
End7.9
Second
48.50.5
47.748.1
Auto11.5
Teleop29.3
End7.6
red by 9.6
38.90.6
37.938.6
Auto11.5
Teleop18.5
End8.9
Third
6517
#24
27.30.6
26.326.9
Auto7.1
Teleop13.2
End7.0
blue by 4.6
3984
#14
31.90.6
30.931.6
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End8.2