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Match 132023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red113
382129.1
32550.0
402054.2
Blue143
398431.9
426548.3
314038.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471196080100160180200113143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#2
54.20.5
54.6→54.2
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End10.0
red by 5.8
4265
#8
48.30.4
47.0→47.4
Auto15.7
Teleop24.7
End7.9
Second
325
#4
50.00.5
50.5→50.0
Auto14.6
Teleop28.4
End7.0
red by 11.1
3140
#5
38.90.4
37.5→37.9
Auto11.5
Teleop18.5
End8.9
Third
3821
#33
29.10.6
29.7→29.1
Auto10.2
Teleop15.0
End3.9
blue by 2.8
3984
#14
31.90.4
30.5→30.9
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End8.2