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Match 122023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red126
6334.6
10842.2
821432.8
Blue129
398431.9
426548.3
314038.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114123050100150200250300126129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#6
42.20.4
41.8→42.2
Auto11.0
Teleop23.7
End7.4
blue by 6.2
4265
#8
48.30.2
46.7→47.0
Auto15.7
Teleop24.7
End7.9
Second
63
#21
34.60.4
34.2→34.6
Auto9.4
Teleop17.6
End7.5
blue by 4.4
3140
#5
38.90.2
37.3→37.5
Auto11.5
Teleop18.5
End8.9
Third
8214
#19
32.80.5
32.3→32.8
Auto6.8
Teleop19.7
End6.3
red by 0.9
3984
#14
31.90.2
30.3→30.5
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End8.2