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Red164
173048.5
245159.1
651727.3
Blue153
402054.2
32550.0
382129.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138142120160180164153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.8
57.558.3
Auto12.5
Teleop36.9
End9.5
red by 4.9
54.20.3
54.354.6
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End10.0
Second
48.50.8
46.947.7
Auto11.5
Teleop29.3
End7.6
blue by 1.5
325
#4
50.00.3
50.150.5
Auto14.6
Teleop28.4
End7.0
Third
6517
#24
27.30.9
25.426.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.2
End7.0
blue by 1.8
3821
#33
29.10.4
29.329.7
Auto10.2
Teleop15.0
End3.9