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Match 102023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red130
450425.6
146632.0
261446.5
Blue130
821432.8
10842.2
6334.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10811580100120140160180130130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#16
46.50.6
45.9→46.5
Auto13.9
Teleop24.2
End8.4
red by 4.4
108
#6
42.20.4
41.4→41.8
Auto11.0
Teleop23.7
End7.4
Second
1466
#3
32.00.7
31.3→32.0
Auto11.1
Teleop13.6
End7.3
blue by 2.6
63
#21
34.60.4
33.8→34.2
Auto9.4
Teleop17.6
End7.5
Third
4504
#22
25.60.6
24.9→25.6
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End4.5
blue by 7.3
8214
#19
32.80.5
31.9→32.3
Auto6.8
Teleop19.7
End6.3