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Match 92023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red152
314038.9
426548.3
398431.9
Blue135
238343.4
80133.0
752536.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11911890100110130140150160152135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#8
48.30.9
45.9→46.7
Auto15.7
Teleop24.7
End7.9
red by 4.9
2383
#10
43.40.5
42.9→43.4
Auto11.1
Teleop24.4
End7.9
Second
3140
#5
38.90.9
36.4→37.3
Auto11.5
Teleop18.5
End8.9
red by 2.8
7525
#13
36.10.5
35.6→36.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End9.0
Third
3984
#14
31.90.9
29.4→30.3
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End8.2
blue by 1.1
801
#15
33.00.5
32.4→33.0
Auto8.6
Teleop16.9
End7.4