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Qual 112023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red121
245159.1
401319.2
450425.6
Blue75
32550.0
574419.2
365323.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008505015012175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#1
59.11.6
53.8→55.5
Auto12.5
Teleop36.9
End9.5
red by 9.1
325
#4
50.00.4
40.1→39.6
Auto14.6
Teleop28.4
End7.0
Second
4504
#22
25.61.8
16.4→18.2
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End4.5
red by 1.8
3653
#29
23.70.4
22.6→22.2
Auto5.8
Teleop9.9
End8.1
Third
4013
#27
19.21.8
21.3→23.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.2
End6.8
Level
5744
#32
19.20.7
18.9→18.2
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsMissed